In 2008, Aengevelt Research developed the Aengevelt Residential Investment Index AWI* as a qualified scientific guide to the residential investment market. It collects the assessments of experts from all areas of the housing industry on market sentiments and developments every six months.
The most important facts of the current winter survey 2025/2026 in brief:
After the AWI achieved its worst result since the beginning of the survey in the 2022/2023 winter survey with 47.9 points, its value rose continuously again thereafter.
This trend continued until the summer 2025 survey with a value of 70.1 points. In the current winter survey 2025/2026, the value has fallen to 66 points, but remains at a high level. This development is stringent across all residential areas:
- The AWI fell by 4.1 points to 61.6 points in simple locations and by 4.4 points to 68.1 points in medium locations. Good locations recorded the smallest decline and fell by 2.7 points to 69.4 points.
- Regardless of the decline, all three sub-indices indicate an imbalance in favour of owners and landlords (market equilibrium: 40 – 60 points).
"The AWI shows two trends: On the one hand, the market conditions for the rental and sale of apartments and residential investments remain favourable. On the other hand, the further decline in housing completions since 2023 (2023: approx. 294,900 residential units; 2025 according to the Ifo forecast: approx. 205,000 residential units) prove that the current governmental and economic framework conditions are not sufficient to significantly and sustainably boost new residential construction across the board and to remedy the existing housing shortage, especially in the growth regions. That's why we now need even more effective incentives for investors and project developers," says Dr. Wulff Aengevelt, commenting on the AWI results.
Rental housing market.
The current survey results confirm this assessment:
- Only 1% of respondents expect rents to fall (summer 2025: 3%).
- In contrast, the majority of survey participants (72%) (summer 2025: 76%) still expect rents to rise. In simple residential areas, the figure is 62% (-6 percentage points), in medium locations






