The real estate markets in East German B and C cities such as Magdeburg, Erfurt and Chemnitz have stabilised noticeably in recent years. After years of transformation, the locations now show solid fundamentals and an overall stable development: While rent and vacancy levels are increasingly similar to those of comparable West German markets, purchase prices and rents are still well below the level of the large metropolitan regions. At the same time, the markets remain characterized by structural challenges. In the future, demographic change in particular will dampen demand for residential and office space, even if it will remain stable in many segments in the short term. These are the key findings of an online press conference by RUECKERCONSULT with experts from Colliers, the Barton Group and Deutsche Bürohaus GmbH (DVI Group).
Housing market: Rising rents with limited supply
The housing market in East German B and C cities is characterized by a decline in new construction, which is causing supply to become even more scarce. In recent years, the number of available rental apartments has decreased significantly, in some cases, while demand remains stable. Against this background, rents are expected to continue to rise in the medium term, albeit at a comparatively moderate level compared to the top 7 cities. At the same time, housing costs remain affordable for many households, as rising incomes partially compensate for the rent burden. The rent burden ratio in the cities under consideration is around 25 percent, which is well below the level of the large metropolitan regions. A major driver of rising housing costs is not so much net rents exclusive of heating expenses as increased energy and ancillary costs.
Johannes Rost, Associate Director Residential Capital Markets at Colliers in Germany, comments: "Despite an overall tense market environment, the housing markets in East German B and C cities are developing comparatively stable. The excess demand in the portfolio will continue to intensify due to the decline in new construction activity, so that moderate but continuous rent increases are to be expected in the future. At the same time, housing in these markets remains affordable in a nationwide comparison."






